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AI Research Memo

Catherine McGuire

AI-integrated courses can handle routine questions and free teachers for higher-value work Well-designed course bots cut response time without hurting learning quality The real policy issue is how to govern AI, not whether to use it

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Ethan McGowan

Digital truth can no longer be judged by human sight or sound alone Institutions must certify reality, not just detect fakes after harm occurs Education systems now play a central role in rebuilding trust in evidence In

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David O'Neill

AI is permanently erasing the entry-level roles that once trained new graduates Public reinvestment funds will fail to rescue these jobs from corporate efficiency measures Universities must urgently adopt high-intensity training models to prevent a workforce crisis

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Keith Lee

AI transparency is a public good that cannot survive without explicit funding Unfunded openness will weaken Western firms against state-subsidized competitors Paying for transparency is the only way to keep AI markets both open and competitive

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Ethan McGowan

Federal AI adoption depends on tools and training, not elite titles DOGE proved rapid automation can work but exposed skill gaps Lasting reform requires institutionalized AI, not rollback Getting AI into

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Keith Lee

Technological adaptability differs sharply across individuals, making averages misleading Social and economic factors determine who can realistically reskill Policy must target adaptability gaps, not average exposure When

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Keith Lee

HAIP faces pressure as national AI governance models increasingly diverge China’s state-led approach changes the incentives for voluntary global standards Without economic rewards, HAIP risks losing durability in strategic competition

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Keith Lee

HAIP increases transparency but does not yet change behavior Voluntary reporting without incentives becomes symbolic Real impact requires linking HAIP to audits and procurement By June 2025, the OECD repo

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Keith Lee

AI capital is being miscounted, shrinking the economy on paper Hidden AI assets distort policy, funding, and skills planning Fixing measurement is now a growth and governance priority Currently, most official economic reports treat

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Ethan McGowan

Minimum wages insure routine workers inside firms Shocks tend to push adjustment onto high-skill jobs Policy must pair the firm-level minimum wage with portable support for talent The increase in South Kore

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Ethan McGowan

Advanced economies push AI policy because productivity gains are visible and immediate Poorer countries lag as low returns and weak capacity dampen urgency Education policy can still slow the widening AI divide Since the em

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David O'Neill

Schools are banning AI while workplaces are adopting it, creating a growing skills gap AI literacy must be taught through teachers and curriculum, not enforced through restrictions on students The real policy failure is institutional resistance to change, not student misuse of technology

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Keith Lee

The AI fluency gap is becoming the new digital divide, reshaping who advances and who falls behind at work Only a small group of fluent users capture most of AI’s productivity gains, concentrating power and opportunity Education systems and policy must act now to make AI fluency a shared public skill, not a private advantage

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Ethan McGowan

AI is triggering a new global divergence, much like the industrial revolutions before it Countries that control AI systems and skills will gain lasting economic and institutional power Education and policy now decide who leads and who is left behind

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Keith Lee

China’s AI edge is increasingly driven by faster, cheaper access to power and land U.S.

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Ethan McGowan

AI-driven automation is shrinking both labor and consumption tax bases A robot tax is becoming a practical fiscal tool, not a provocation Welfare systems may also need less funding as labor is partially emancipated In 2024, the average de

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Ethan McGowan

AI adoption in Europe is still limited, with most firms using AI only as a supporting tool The gap between AI hype and real workplace use reflects risk, skills gaps, and institutional limits Policy and education must focus on practical capacity, not promises of rapid transformation

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Ethan McGowan

Health data monetization is failing because patients do not trust technology firms with sensitive medical records Turning health data into a commodity ignores consent, governance, and healthcare’s real economics Without strong safeguards and public oversight, most health data projects will keep breaking down

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Catherine McGuire

Physical AI moves intelligence from screens into systems that act in the real world In education, AI shifts from a tool to shared infrastructure with new governance risks The policy challenge is managing embodied intelligence at institutional scale

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Catherine McGuire

AI in education needs compute; cooling drives water, power, and trust costs Require verified standards for data center water cooling, power, and heat reuse Site compute in low-water regions and reuse heat to scale AI responsibly Operatin

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