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Policy

David O'Neill

Trump 2.0 tariffs: 10% floor, 15% for dealmakers Campus costs climb—labs, AI gear, construction—equity gaps widen Plan for persistence: pool procurement, secure exemptions, fund aid and labs We often hear that tari

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Oliver Griffin

China’s defense budget contains numerous off-the-books items, making its true scale difficult to determine Geopolitical tensions intensify as Asian countries accelerate military spending A series of recent military provocations targeting Taiwan, the Philippines, and Japan

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Anne-Marie Nicholson

The New International Order Map Drawn by Trump’s Second-Term NSS “EU at the Stage of Civilizational Erasure,” a Withering Broadside Washington Formalizes Self-Interested Isolationism The second administration of U.S.

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Matthew Reuter

European Commission Notifies Google of Preliminary Findings for Alleged “DMA Breach” AI Overviews Drive Sharp Click-Through Declines, Accelerating “Zero-Click” Search and Deepening Fears of a Publisher Ecosystem Breakdown Trump Administration’s Retaliatory Tariff Warnings Collide With a Hardening EU Line, Intensifying U.S.-EU Trade Frictions

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Ethan McGowan

Nationalist politics inflates Japan–China business costs, risking $292.6B in trade Controls and bans snarl inputs, travel, and seafood, squeezing factories and SMEs The fix: de-risk, don’t decouple—transparent dashboards, precise licenses, targeted insurance

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Oliver Griffin

India and Russia have maintained an alliance for more than 60 years since the Cold War era Cooperation extends beyond energy and defense to joint development of icebreakers Tariff talks with the United States also accelerating, likely to conclude within the year

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Stefan Schneider

China posts largest trade surplus in its historyRare-earth export controls widen the scope of friction

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Aoife Brennan

Korea’s chip exports to China have shrunk dramatically over the past few years China’s fast-growing semiconductor ecosystem keeps pushing for self-reliance, even as the U.S.

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Siobhán Delaney

EU pushes ‘Russian frozen assets loan for Ukraine’ Belgium protests: “We didn’t confiscate German assets even in World War II” Japan also refuses use of frozen assets, raises legal concerns at G7 The European Union’s plan to extend a repara

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Oliver Griffin

Trump Approves Nvidia’s H200 Exports to China Huawei’s AI Chips Advancing to Near-Nvidia Performance China to Approve H200 Use Only When Domestic Chips Are Not Viable U.S.

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Aoife Brennan

Germany widens defense buildup, pours funds into space security “If the ranks fall short, conscription is an option”—selective draft model planned Across Europe, the race to secure troops and weapons intensifies Europe’s rearmament is gathering pace

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Anne-Marie Nicholson

China’s Global Maritime Footholds Across Europe, Latin America, and Africa Piraeus, the Flagship of China’s Maritime Silk Road China’s Tightening Command of Global Maritime Logistics Spurs U.S.

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Niamh O’Sullivan

Restructuring of return hubs and introduction of an “immigration refusal tax”Reduced trade benefits for non-cooperative states, mounting pressure

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David O'Neill

A Taiwan Strait shock would choke energy, chips, and shipping that keep East Asia learning Japan/Korea: oil-route risks; ASEAN: migrant, logistics, student shocks Protect schools now—fuel, offline kits, spares, regional compact

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Ethan McGowan

Capitals dominate because jobs concentrate, not because productivity lags elsewhere Move demand and decision rights to secondary cities to thicken labor markets Align education pipelines and public procurement to reward distributed hiring and retention

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Aoife Brennan

U.S. Congress Adds NDAA Curbs on Troop Cuts in Korea and Europe Trump Team Presses Allies to Shoulder More of the Security Burden Cutting Overseas U.S. Forces Could Ultimately Backfire The U.S.

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Siobhán Delaney

Real-Estate Transaction Reporting Act Enforcement Decree Promulgated Additional Reporting Requirements for Residency Status and Address Hopes Raise for Fair Taxation, Speculation Deterrence The government is significantly strengthening reporting

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Ethan McGowan

Ageing Europe needs an optimal immigration level Set ~0.6–1.0% yearly, adjusted by jobs, housing, and language Link flows to capacity and invest to keep growth and trust Across the EU, the old-age dependency

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Ethan McGowan

Closing gender and 60+ gaps offsets ageing Frontiers need more hours; laggards need jobs and childcare Use 5-year targets, neutral taxes, late-career training In 2024, the European Union still had a gender employment gap of 1

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